Lane Risk

SmartCAE Lane Risk is a software tool to quantify the risk that a shipper system fails to retain the designated payload temperature on a global lane.

SmartCAE Lane Risk helps you answer one of the fundamental questions in temperature controlled logistics: what is the probability that a temperature-controlled shipper fails to keep the payload within a designated temperature range on a specific lane? SmartCAE Lane Risk gives you the tools to answer this question.

Based on an accurate thermodynamic model of shipper and payload, the software simulates the payload temperature along the entire lane for a set of ambient temperature profiles. Ambient temperature profiles are based on historical data with no additional assumptions.
Profiles can be:

• recorded logger data from previous shipments, or
• generated using historical temperature data from weather stations all over the world.

As input, you need to provide two pieces of information:
1. a virtual model of the shipper and payload, and
2. the temperature profiles for the given lane.

The software makes it easy for you to input this information. Under the hood it uses software also available as standalone packages: (1) SmartCAE Thermal Packaging to design and simulate the shipper system, and (2) SmartCAE Temperature Profiles to generate ambient temperature profiles based on historical weather data. SmartCAE Lane Risk automates data processing and combines the results into an overall risk estimate. The screenshot below illustrates an example.

Figure: Lane risk for shipper summer packout on lane DUS–ATL–ORD. Top: Gray range – ambient temperature on the lane between 2011 and 2016. Red and green lines – temperature on two exemplary dates, 2015-01-15 (red), and 2015-08-15 (green). Bottom: Temperature at center of payload for all ambient temperature profiles. Light green range – designated payload temperature range, 2-8°C. Gray range – all payload temperatures. Red and green lines – payload temperature for the dates in top figure. Note that red line fails to retain the designated temperature range at about 41 hours lane time.